Incidence, risk factors, and long-term outcomes associated with antibody-mediated rejection — The long-term Deterioration of Kidney Allograft Function (DeKAF) prospective cohort study

Major gaps remain in our understanding of antibody-mediated rejection (AMR) after kidney transplant. We examined the incidence, risk factors, response to treatment, and effects on outcomes of AMR at seven transplant programs in the long-term Deterioration of Kidney Allograft Function prospective study cohort. Among 3131 kidney recipients, there were 194 observed AMR cases (6.2%) during (mean ± SD) 4.85 ± 1.86 years of follow-up. Time to AMR was 0.97 ± 1.17 (median, 0.48) years. Risk factors for AMR included younger recipient age, human leukocyte antigen DR mismatches, panel-reactive antibody >0%, positive T- or B-cell cross-match, and delayed graft function. Compared with no AMR, the adjusted time-dependent hazard ratio for death-censored graft failure is 10.1 (95% confidence interval, 6.5-15.7) for all AMR patients, 4.0 (2.5, 9.1) for early AMR (<90 days after transplant), and 24.0 (14.0-41.1) for late AMR (≥90 days after transplant). Patients were treated with different therapeutic combinations. Of 194 kidney transplant recipients with AMR, 50 (25.8%) did not respond to treatment, defined as second AMR within 100 days or no improvement in estimated glomerular filtration rate by 42 days. Long-term outcomes after AMR are poor, regardless of the initial response to treatment. Better prevention and new therapeutic strategies are needed to improve long-term allograft survival.